Another government shutdown is looming.
Rather than quietly admitting defeat on his border wall stand, President Trump has punted the issue to a bipartisan group of lawmakers. He is threatening to shut down the government again if they don’t deliver a border wall compromise by Feb. 15.
Trump’s approach keeps his divisive anti-immigrant campaign on the front page while robbing Republican lawmakers of the chance to pivot to a uniting pro-growth message. For political and policy reasons, courageous Republicans must stand up to Trump and moderate the party’s immigration position.
Immigration is not a winning political issue for Republicans. President Trump tried to make last year’s midterm elections a referendum on immigration. He backed cutting legal immigration in half, eliminating birthright citizenship and separating families at the border. It backfired. Republicans lost 40 House seats and the Speaker’s gavel. The losses were especially pronounced in suburban districts, many of which were longtime Republican bastions.
Trump evidently hasn’t learned his lesson from this loss. Instead, he’s chosen to double down on the issue by shutting down the government for the longest period in modern U.S. history and threatening to do so again. Polls show Americans oppose this approach. If he doesn’t change course, he threatens GOP control of the Senate next.
Republicans currently enjoy a three-seat Senate majority. But they face tough 2020 election prospects in Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Maine and North Carolina, all of which saw Democratic gains in the midterms. Even Texas Republicans have begun sounding the alarm about their 2020 Senate prospects.
Demographics aren’t on Republicans’ side. According to a new analysis by Pew Research, one in 10 voters in 2020 will be an immigrant, and one in three will be a minority. Voters from the Millennial generation and Generation Z will outnumber voters from the Baby Boom and Silent generations for the first time. Republicans must craft a positive message that reflects this electorate.
Republicans should moderate their immigration position not only for political reasons but also because doing so is good policy. The country currently has 6.9 million unfilled jobs, and the unemployment rate is hovering above a half-century low. Youth, minorities, and high-school dropouts are all enjoying unemployment rates that are bouncing off record lows. Employers across the country say their No. 1 concern is the inability to find workers. This unmet labor demand artificially prevents the economy from running at capacity.
What’s a Republican immigration policy reform that would address the economy’s needs while also relieving pressure on the southern border?
Expanding work visas. Currently, there are essentially no legal paths for less-skilled economic migrants to enter the U.S. to work for a few years to improve the lives of their families, in line with American tradition. In other words, there is no “line” to enter legally.
Work visas would allow immigrants to immediately contribute to the economy while paying taxes and contributing to Social Security. These would address the root cause of illegal immigration: People will always want to come to the U.S. to pursue a better life. A border wall merely tries to address the effect.
Work visas would also allow the border patrol to focus on national security threats, not those pursuing the American Dream.
There’s a proud Republican tradition supporting such work visas, with both Ronald Reagan and President George W. Bush proposing them.
Courageous support for expanding work visas would free Republican lawmakers from Trump’s anti-immigration anchor while also taking a major step to solve illegal immigration.
In contrast, supporting another shutdown will only build a wall between the party and millions of younger, minority and suburban voters.
Jordan Bruneau is the senior policy analyst for the Becoming American Initiative, a right-leaning nonprofit organization dedicated to making the conservative case for legal immigration and based in Washington, D.C.